Significant improvement in South Africa. Daily cases and deaths continue to fall rapidly. Daily new case average dropped below 1,000, under 20 per million. Areas with no cases should be protected to establish Green Zones for reopening. pic.twitter.com/moL28AgSjk
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 5, 2021
Brazil continues new highs in cases and deaths. Preliminary studies of Brazilian variant indicate 2X transmissibility, 10-80% more lethal, evades immunity for 25-60% of those previously sick.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 5, 2021
States with significant increases including: SP, RS, SC, PR, BA. pic.twitter.com/G5QQtjlcgH
We are tracking Portugal’s continued progress now down to almost 1/20 of peak.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 4, 2021
Over the most recent week Portugal reported 6,500 cases, down from 10,500 the week before, a 38% decline. pic.twitter.com/0BpKhUhGcV
The Azores are under 10 per day.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 4, 2021
It would help if they report separately imported, quarantined and community transmission cases. A recent slight increase is otherwise unexplained.
They are very close to reaching the goal of ZeroCovid! pic.twitter.com/9ajsRDYAI8
Many European countries are showing signs of a new ‘wave’, due in part to arrival of new variants.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 4, 2021
Portugal is doing the right thing by keeping their lockdown going. Strong action can prevent variants from taking over and enable a green zone exit. pic.twitter.com/SXwchDIgow
Finland imposes a state of emergency order, allowing government officials to impose new restrictions to slow the spread of new variants.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 3, 2021
They are currently averaging 560 cases and 2 deaths per day.https://t.co/8MS2z86ZAJ pic.twitter.com/piNQNXOp92
Like much of Europe and North America, cases in Sweden are on the rise for a new ‘wave’ of infections, though cases didn’t go down much from recent highs.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 3, 2021
Currently reporting 3,700 new cases and 25 deaths per day, however under reporting has been an issue. pic.twitter.com/82Hb6xeR6B
A similar trend is seen in all-cause mortality. Most Nordic countries reported no significant change in excess deaths in 2020, compared to those of 2015-2019. Sweden’s excess deaths are highly significant. pic.twitter.com/vsgy1wQorP
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 3, 2021
This progress is fairly uniform across regions. Valenciana, La Rioja, and Extremadura are improving rapidly. pic.twitter.com/tV2GYyaCJJ
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 2, 2021
Our guidance for Spain is the same as it is for Portugal: utilize a Green Zone exit strategy to get to zero quickly and return to normalcy.https://t.co/cS4YgyNPaN
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 2, 2021
Nearly every major region in Portugal has significant reductions in cases. None of the mainland regions are ready to open up as a whole, but if they can be subdivided into smaller regions, the path to reopening can be accelerated. pic.twitter.com/C4iSJihepg
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) March 1, 2021
Vietnam continues to report decreasing case numbers after experiencing their largest outbreak of the pandemic in late January.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 28, 2021
Yesterday they reported 5 cases: 4 were already in quarantine, 1 was imported and was placed in quarantine. pic.twitter.com/JzJYBGckNt
The Bahamas continues to report few daily cases, averaging 16 new cases per day, with most islands reporting 0 cases. Cases are concentrated in New Providence and Grand Bahama. Quarantine information is unavailable, but should be. pic.twitter.com/qKydAe2BQ2
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 28, 2021
What will happen with the new variants in the US?
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 26, 2021
Depends on what we do: Stay the same, or shut down to stop them.
Here are projections for a few states.
Projections are rough but the basic shape is sound.
Actions matter.
Starting from California.
1/ pic.twitter.com/9t9SXaOlmf
North Carolina
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 26, 2021
Louisiana
Indiana
Georgia
3/ pic.twitter.com/MZ5B3F03Xl
Thanks to @brumatingturtle for making these figures!
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 26, 2021
Several countries in eastern Europe are now reporting resurgences. It is very likely that the new variants are playing a significant role in much of Europe. pic.twitter.com/BGPTvmOQtI
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 26, 2021
Although progress in US has been significant, daily cases, deaths, and hospitalizations are still very high compared to earlier in the pandemic pic.twitter.com/MXDSDaKFH6
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 26, 2021
Germany has reported significant progress in 2021, bringing cases down to ~⅓ of peak. Over the last several days, that progress has slowed, and the 7-day averages for cases and deaths have flattened.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 25, 2021
Yesterday they reported 5,764cases and 422 deaths. pic.twitter.com/39WvdB3jLl
Although the country as a whole has seen progress slow down, several regions are still reporting progress. Saarland, the smallest German state, is setting an example. pic.twitter.com/sO3GoQhzbD
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 25, 2021
The nocovid group in Germany has been advancing this conversation with the public and policy makers and providing concrete plans and toolkitshttps://t.co/sYwBp4v3Yk#yestonocovid
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 25, 2021
Vietnam is managing to contain its recent outbreak, and only reported 9 cases yesterday. Their 7-day average is now down to 17 cases/day, enough to reach our green “winning” category on https://t.co/7BB7RnXf7W.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 24, 2021
Congrats! pic.twitter.com/9SAwGkRiVU
A similar story in Panama: cases have fallen quickly since January, now ~⅕ of peak, enough to join the yellow countries! Congrats!
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 24, 2021
Yesterday they reported 566 cases and 14 deaths. pic.twitter.com/AKILQvtQFr
Portugal reports good progress with 8.5 day halving time (8% decline per day), and plans to lockdown until at least Mar 1. At this rate they will have ~600 cases/day Mar 1, and get near zero mid-April.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 23, 2021
Refining the lockdown and a Green Zone exit strategy would be faster. pic.twitter.com/HfbLvNm4qC
All countries in lockdowns: Focus on using the time to dramatically reduce cases by refining and improving the stopping of transmission in essential workplaces and in homes. This will make everything better.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 23, 2021
Cases in Italy recently leveled off around 12,000 new cases per day, with cases increasing in Lombardia. Yesterday Italy reported 14,914 new cases and 251 deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 22, 2021
Today marks one year since Italy’s first reported covid death. pic.twitter.com/Q1dhQbyrLV
US reports improvement in almost every state. Daily cases are down to ⅓ of peak, hospitalizations down to less than ½ of peak, and deaths 60% of peak. pic.twitter.com/unSeogx1cv
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 22, 2021
Here is the figure pic.twitter.com/omoEE5ipb5
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 22, 2021
The 7-day averages for both daily cases and deaths have reached new highs in Brazil.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 21, 2021
To investigate the effects of their vaccine, Brazil plans to vaccinate the entire population of Serrana, a city in Sao Paulo. https://t.co/pMLixlsb6A pic.twitter.com/HeAQtixdpK
In Atlantic Canada, the outbreak of B.1.1.7 in Newfoundland and Labrador continues.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 21, 2021
In the last two weeks, NL reported 451 new cases, more than half of their total for the entire pandemic. pic.twitter.com/P4CvSwR9bR
Good news!
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 20, 2021
The state of Puducherry, India joins our “Winners Circle”
Congratulations!
India continues to report great progress. Currently 13 states and territories report less than 20 new cases per day, our “Winners Circle” at https://t.co/LUS3Lt12PV. pic.twitter.com/Tx4jCiBmhW
The only region in India that is currently in our “needs action” category is Kerala. After initial success, Kerala opened up too soon and is now one of the hardest-hit regions.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 20, 2021
Outbreaks in Kozhikode, Ernakulam and Malappuram districts are responsible for many of the cases. pic.twitter.com/uASblcXvjj
Combining all of the states of Northeast India together there are now 25 cases per day:
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 20, 2021
Arunachal Pradesh 0
Assam 9
Manipur 10
Meghalaya 2
Mizoram 1
Nagaland 2
Sikkim 1
Tripura 0
Total: 25
Portugal reports rapid decreases in both daily cases and deaths. Their recent lockdown began Jan. 15 (gray line).
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 19, 2021
Yesterday they reported 2,324 cases and 127 deaths. pic.twitter.com/oTbA8Coluh
As an archipelago Japan could readily adopt a green zone strategy and eliminate Covid with dramatic impact on life conditions, health and economy.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 19, 2021
The US reports progress in almost every state. Now 16 states are reporting case levels below ⅕ of their peak.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 18, 2021
See more: https://t.co/jLvz4QdSse pic.twitter.com/H4SmnFflxW
New variants are still a significant concern in US, which now has 1,277 confirmed cases of the more transmissible, more severe B.1.1.7 “UK” variant. Nearly ⅓ of which are found in Florida.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 18, 2021
4.7% of the US is now fully vaccinated. pic.twitter.com/fJlIFnNER4
A similar story in Victoria, Australia: after a 5-day lockdown, they have concluded that their outbreak is now contained. https://t.co/y5nNwex2AI pic.twitter.com/n5nevaKrFf
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 18, 2021
Peru’s summer resurgence is now showing case and death rates similar to their previous peaks. Stress on their medical system forced much of the country into a lockdown, which started Jan 31.https://t.co/chabELNa6V pic.twitter.com/AXo3Pf7PN2
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 17, 2021
Similarly in Brazil, with cases and deaths both very high.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 17, 2021
Clearly, immunity from previous infections is insufficient for keeping cases low, even in some of the hardest-hit countries. pic.twitter.com/P3WaxEV8sq
In an attempt to slow the importation of new variants, Britain will now require travelers coming from 33 select countries to complete a 10-day quarantine in a government-sanctioned hotel.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 16, 2021
Scotland is requiring this for all international air passengers.https://t.co/QgyKZNz3VY
Singapore records three straight days with zero locally-acquired cases, with only 11 local cases in the last two weeks. The country of 5.7 million people has only recorded 29 covid deaths. pic.twitter.com/ewm0fgPcPQ
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 16, 2021
Bahamas remains in our “winning” category at https://t.co/7BB7RnXf7W. Now averaging only 7 cases per day, with most islands at zero. pic.twitter.com/h3nMOD5l0i
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 15, 2021
Despite being one of the hardest hit countries in the world, Brazil continues to see very high levels of cases and deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 15, 2021
Yesterday they reported 44,299 cases and 1,043 deaths. pic.twitter.com/HbiIGraAZj
In Australia, Victoria reports promising news: only one locally acquired covid case was reported yesterday, down from 5 the day before. Their circuit-breaker lockdown is still scheduled to end on Feb 17th. pic.twitter.com/INI5JQcLbU
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 14, 2021
Despite having ~90% of cases caused by the more transmissible, more deadly B.1.1.7 variant, UK continues to report progress.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 14, 2021
Yesterday they reported 15,198 cases, ¼ of peak. pic.twitter.com/86BJZR2Mz3
Yesterday Australia reported 5 locally acquired cases in Victoria, which was preceded by 6 cases from days before. All confirmed to be the more transmissible, more severe UK variant. Today (Tomorrow our time, Feb 13), just one new locally acquired case.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 13, 2021
https://t.co/HWgZQswx4D pic.twitter.com/SfuAmLpcNo
Canada announces new travel restrictions, including more testing and hotel quarantines upon arrival (first part of 14 day mandatory quarantine).
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 13, 2021
Cases continue to fall. Yesterday 3,177 cases, 82 deaths. Progress in BC has slowed.
https://t.co/UpSQwDsfBp pic.twitter.com/KgfVW31zDV
Cases are near zero in Iceland (data on quarantines is not given), “the economy is thriving and life has pretty much returned to normal.” Gyms and bars are reopening, and national focus turns toward testing and quarantining travelers upon arrival.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 13, 2021
https://t.co/iDzXWko7F4 pic.twitter.com/80h3RJChnb
Switzerland reports progress, with cases now less than ⅕ of peak. Enough to move them into our “nearly there” category on https://t.co/7BB7RnXf7W
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 12, 2021
Congratulations! pic.twitter.com/mHQQzrVx0A
Vietnam continues to fight their recent outbreak. They are down to 20 cases per day average this past week.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 12, 2021
Their last reported covid death was in Sept 2020. 35 covid deaths since the beginning of the pandemic. Population 100M. pic.twitter.com/JZf0h0PvzF
Yesterday Djibouti reported 9 new cases, 0 deaths, and 361 tests. They have reported ~6k cases and 63 total covid deaths to date, with only 2 deaths since the start of this year.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 11, 2021
https://t.co/DlXXlOwof5 pic.twitter.com/RlG2G4kLsf
Canada reports progress in almost every region, with the exception of Newfoundland and Labrador, which reported a new high of 53 new cases today. Most of those cases were under 20 yo, and there are 32 additional presumed positive cases identified by rapid tests. pic.twitter.com/V24HFb2Fym
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 11, 2021
Trinidad and Tobago reports continued success in containing COVID-19. Only one new case was reported today.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 10, 2021
They closed their borders in March 2020, and travel restrictions remain strict almost a full year later.https://t.co/SxQZlji0IY pic.twitter.com/0YQg3Q5hhK
Japan introduced new restrictions on Jan 7th, and cases began to decrease shortly after. Yesterday they reported 1,227 cases, with their 7-day average now ~⅓ of peak.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 10, 2021
https://t.co/tQFVKo533o pic.twitter.com/5ThRQoQhr4
Denmark has reported significant progress since December, cases are down by ~10X from peak.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 9, 2021
However, progress in the last 10 days has come to a halt, with daily cases leveling off around 400. pic.twitter.com/imxM1lH5zM
Uruguay had an extremely successful handling of the pandemic until October, when cases grew exponentially. Recently, they have reported progress, with daily cases now roughly half of the peak in the 7-day average. pic.twitter.com/1EaD5o3C9d
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 9, 2021
Canada reports some progress, primarily in Ontario and Quebec. Yesterday Canada reported 3,264 cases.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 8, 2021
Deaths remain high, but are decreasing. Their second ‘wave’ has now caused more deaths than the first wave in spring. pic.twitter.com/Q8Aw522a8b
Vietnam reports significant progress in containing their recent outbreak. In the last three days, they reported: 9, 16, and 9 new cases.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 8, 2021
Well done! pic.twitter.com/gp1gMccezs
Good News! Belize now averages 19 new cases per day with test positivity rate of ~3%.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 7, 2021
They join our Winner’s Circle at https://t.co/7BB7RnXf7W!
Congratulations! pic.twitter.com/nwaqvYd96W
US reports improvement in both cases and hospitalizations, but there are also 611 reported cases of the more transmissible, more deadly UK B117 variant (nearly 200 cases in FL alone). pic.twitter.com/xq7zrnDHTp
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 7, 2021
Thailand continues to battle a local outbreak which spread in a seafood market near Bangkok. Yesterday they reported 586 new cases, with many cases occurring in their migrant worker population. pic.twitter.com/tbt117ChmO
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 6, 2021
As much of the US reports progress, Texas overtakes California as the state with the highest daily cases.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 6, 2021
Despite some of the larger counties in Texas reporting improvement, many of the smaller counties are surging. pic.twitter.com/a7SadhkZFL
Hawaii reports progress! Honolulu, Maui, Hawaii all decreasing. Kauai and Kalawao already very low.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 5, 2021
Cases in the last 14 days:
Honolulu: 1006 (pop = 974,563)
Maui: 350 (pop = 167,417)
Hawaii: 89 (pop = 201,513)
Kauai: 4 (pop = 72,293)
Kalawao: 0 (pop = 86) pic.twitter.com/eg1soZpnXe
Yesterday US reported 121,469 new cases, down from peak of ~300,000. Daily deaths remain high, 3,912 yesterday.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 5, 2021
Despite progress, new variants continue to increase in prevalence. Osterholm warns ‘Category 5’ COVID-19 hurricane is about to hit.https://t.co/9TWbjmaYvb pic.twitter.com/mDKyAlCKEV
The Netherlands extends lockdown till March 2nd. Nearly 70% of their cases are thought to be due to more transmissible and severe UK variant.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 4, 2021
Yesterday 3,624 cases, down from maximum of 13,000.
https://t.co/2d0K7Adqxg pic.twitter.com/NWfwLv8MhD
Vietnam continues to track down covid cases after recent outbreak.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 4, 2021
Confirmed cases in last few days:
Jan 28: 98
Jan 29: 6
Jan 30: 110
Jan 31: 50
Feb 1: 33
Feb 2: 32
Most cases confirmed to be the UK variant, and cases are now found in 10 provinces. pic.twitter.com/WNFt9UK6lU
Globally, daily new cases have declined since mid-January. 7-day average 525,000 is now the lowest since early November.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 3, 2021
Yesterday 382,036 cases. pic.twitter.com/QDJdE4QDjt
In late-December, Denmark and US had comparable per capita case rates, now 1 in 6. Denmark is showing the kind of case reduction possible when stronger action is taken. pic.twitter.com/0twp0klSuY
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 3, 2021
Peru was one of hardest-hit countries in the world in 2020, now has new resurgence.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 3, 2021
More details: https://t.co/mg6aAFGh5v pic.twitter.com/8xP2c7oJox
Western Australia reported 0 cases of community transmission yesterday. A “donut day” on their first day of their 5-day lockdown. Great news!
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 2, 2021
No other out-of-quarantine cases in all of Australia pic.twitter.com/DFuASc21KT
South Africa significant improvement:
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 2, 2021
-Yesterday reported 4,525 cases, down from peak ~22,000
-Test positivity now 14%, down from max 33%
New variant can be stopped. Elimination strategy works without vaccine. #zerocovid #covidzero pic.twitter.com/6keRusBWlD
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 2, 2021
Lithuania’s containment efforts are paying off. Yesterday they reported 858 new cases, down from a peak of nearly 3,000.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 1, 2021
After their first outbreak, they attempted to keep cases low rather than going for zero. Let’s hope they go for zero to open safely. pic.twitter.com/STt57QM9US
Alaska progress:
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 1, 2021
Daily cases down almost to ⅕ peak
Hospitalizations down to ¼ peak
Most in Anchorage, many regions very close to zero. A green zone exit strategy, like Australia, would treat them well. pic.twitter.com/JiuJyHh8tL
Czechia, Slovenia, and Slovakia all report very similar behavior: a strong reduction in cases during January, but cases are beginning to level off at still very high rates. Time for a zero covid exit strategy. pic.twitter.com/Lxi2TMlxkj
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) February 1, 2021
Portugal continues rapid increase of both cases and deaths. Yesterday reported 13,200 new cases and 278 deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 31, 2021
Per capita case rates are the highest in the world. pic.twitter.com/oSWS8rM03a
US continues slow decline in new cases, primarily due to California. However, many regions in California are lifting restrictions which were responsible for the success. Makes no sense. pic.twitter.com/s1rbWSn40B
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 31, 2021
The Czech government decided yesterday to strengthen their containment efforts. These new measures include further restrictions on non-essential travel as well as increased access to free antigen testing.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 30, 2021
Case and death rates remain high but are improving. pic.twitter.com/DSuRnABysS
US reported its first two cases of the “South Africa” B.1.351 variant in South Carolina.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 30, 2021
UK B.1.1.7 variant continues to spread quickly: now 315 cases.
One case of Brazil P.1 variant is identified in Minnesota.
See more:https://t.co/g9mIzIYvzM pic.twitter.com/YEOTP0PQwd
Good news! Assam reaches “Winning” status, now all States of Northeast India have reached “Winning” status with less than 20 cases per day.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 29, 2021
Total cases per day in the NE region is 42! (population is 45M)
Many congratulations! pic.twitter.com/XvkpYJUnrt
There are currently 28 countries in the world with either zero cases or very low cases, putting them in our “winning” category. Many of which have been steady for months. pic.twitter.com/7a7c7cchLZ
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 29, 2021
More good news: While US remains in very difficult condition, a few hard-hit states report significant improvement. Four have fewer than 20% of their peak: ND, MN, WY, and SD.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 29, 2021
Progress! pic.twitter.com/qwCJE2Ug3i
Last Sunday, a Covid-19 case began symptoms in Northland, NZ. All identified close contacts have returned negative test results thus far.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 28, 2021
Recently, the Lowy Institute ranked NZ as the top performing country for handling covid.https://t.co/PTLCO1oaSc pic.twitter.com/Gkbtr1wc6r
Denmark continues to report decreasing cases and deaths. Yesterday they reported 654 new cases and 20 deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 28, 2021
Despite considerable progress, concerns about stopping the more transmissible B117 UK variant remain. Important to go strong to zero.https://t.co/jSWcEnCspG pic.twitter.com/nfMQ36Yd0v
India, Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan all have recent success in getting cases dramatically lower
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 27, 2021
Keep R as low as possible, below 1, get to zero, then return to normal. Bhutan is leading the way for the region! pic.twitter.com/uMKTne9vR3
Egypt is also improving. Yesterday reported 669 new cases, down from December peak of 1,300. Daily deaths are also beginning to decline. pic.twitter.com/eAoElF2BPb
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 27, 2021
While Finland experiences a recent surge, Denmark, Norway, Iceland all report significant reductions in daily cases. Iceland near zero, Norway, Finland could be there soon. Push hard to get to Zero soon. pic.twitter.com/8jKrJMddXe
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 26, 2021
Portugal continues to surge. Currently averaging 14,000 new cases/day and 250 deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 26, 2021
Current lockdown began January 15th, schools were closed last Friday. The closing of schools should help in a week. Going all out is the right way. pic.twitter.com/GNBClArDe9
US has reported 195 confirmed cases of the more transmissible UK variant B.1.1.7 across 22 states. Why not stop it from getting everywhere?
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 26, 2021
https://t.co/JpAifQJ6pO pic.twitter.com/kwYe0zEmoF
6 other states have already been there
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 24, 2021
Arunachal Pradesh
Meghalaya
Mizoram
Nagaland
2/ pic.twitter.com/FztdVlnIIZ
Assam with 25 cases per day is almost there! pic.twitter.com/pRKVUUcB10
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 24, 2021
Yesterday Belgium reported 2,444 new cases (1/10 of peak) and 55 deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 24, 2021
Starting Wednesday, Belgium will close their borders to non-essential travel in an attempt to limit the spread of new variants.
https://t.co/nAAyKlNHYb pic.twitter.com/mx9TTZH6nv
Zimbabwe is battling an outbreak that grew rapidly in December. Cases and test positivity are beginning to decline.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 24, 2021
Cases are down to 60% of peak. pic.twitter.com/7yYjFS0kTw
Lebanon begins to see cases decrease. Yesterday they reported 3,220 new cases and 57 deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 24, 2021
Their reactive strategy has proven to be insufficient, as hospitals are out of beds and extremely low on resources.
https://t.co/WSf5flaacK pic.twitter.com/jN6G6KkXtv
Portugal’s condition becomes dire as they begin their battle against the more transmissible UK variant.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 23, 2021
Yesterday they reported 13,544 cases and 221 deaths. Test positivity is at 18% and climbing rapidly.
https://t.co/J8HOhoD7yX pic.twitter.com/DlG2c4juEF
The Bahamas has been very successful in containing covid.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 23, 2021
They are currently averaging ~10 new cases per day, most of which are in two islands: New Providence and Grand Bahama.
They’ve been on our “winning” list since November.
https://t.co/1Tqhs475WB pic.twitter.com/EuBBZErzOH
Brazil continues to battle the new variant, cases and deaths are high.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 22, 2021
The celebration of Carnival in Rio de Janeiro has been canceled. pic.twitter.com/ZzdIOuntOQ
Just this week, Massachusetts found two cases of the more transmissible UK variant B117: one with recent travel from the UK, one with unknown travel history. Even more reason to take strong action to reduce cases.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 22, 2021
See a global variant tracker here: https://t.co/g9mIzIYvzM
Germany recently announced that they will extend their current lockdown. The country is considering a #NoCovid strategy - the only strategy proven throughout the world to produce a positive outcome with a return to normalcy.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 22, 2021
https://t.co/8LUSvb4W6y
Some countries are in severe crisis mode, but recently many countries are improving. Today we highlight the countries that are now less than 20% of their peak in new cases. Not only are these countries succeeding, but this is a significant shift in the global situation.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 21, 2021
Recently more countries became “nearly there,” the number increased from 10 to 25 in a month, with almost all of them coming from the “needs action.” Let’s look at what is happening. pic.twitter.com/Pyd51GozIL
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 21, 2021
Denmark continues to improve rapidly, 7-day average is down from 3,600 to 1,300, nearly reduced by a factor of 3.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 20, 2021
Restrictions in Denmark until Feb 7 include a 5-person limit on public gatherings and the closure of bars, restaurants and schools. pic.twitter.com/24RPlpbvoc
UK case rates are going down significantly, showing that the new variant can be controlled. Yesterday 37,610 new cases, down from a peak of over 68,000.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 20, 2021
Today UK reported 1,610 deaths, new high. Another week or two before deaths significantly decline.
https://t.co/XuHM6mV7mG pic.twitter.com/mHxclXAsFk
California begins to see some reduction in cases and hospitalizations.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 20, 2021
Concerns of a new variant arise in California:https://t.co/FraDpAFzW7 pic.twitter.com/hkMB2J3BJz
Indonesia recently appointed a new Health Minister and there are hopes of a science-based response. The previous HM advocated widespread use of an unproven treatment he developed.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 19, 2021
Hopefully they look to nearby Australia for example and support.
https://t.co/lxHUi9383s
Vaccinations in Israel and United Arab Emirates continue at a rapid pace. Over the last week, both countries administered vaccine doses to more than 1% of their population each day. pic.twitter.com/9GOEt6kpHl
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 19, 2021
Atlantic Canada continues to have fairly low cases.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 18, 2021
NB and NS battle outbreaks. Cases in last two weeks:
New Brunswick: 300
Nova Scotia: 55
Prince Edward Island: 8
Newfoundland and Labrador: 5 pic.twitter.com/800zzDlKd6
Saudi Arabia cases and deaths remain low. Yesterday 173 new cases, 3 deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 18, 2021
Recent relaxing of international travel restrictions is a very high risk action.
https://t.co/Fid1lOeIBO pic.twitter.com/Of1HEd9lkp
Ireland reports significant reduction in daily cases. Yesterday 3,491, down from peak near 8,000.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 17, 2021
Test positivity is high but declined from 25% to 20% in past week.
(See also earlier tweet on UK planned travel restrictions) pic.twitter.com/dODxp6isRT
Mexico continues to see increasing daily cases and deaths and medical system overcapacity especially in Mexico City.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 17, 2021
Test positivity since September is very high near 45%. https://t.co/WGZc1WR9Wb pic.twitter.com/7p5OeDzcRd
Vaccinations accelerate in many countries. Israel continues lead per capita at 26 doses per 100 people. Mexico has significant increase in vaccination.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 17, 2021
Data for Africa not yet available. pic.twitter.com/X3BG3Tv8Oa
Greece has significant improvement in both cases and deaths:
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 16, 2021
-Daily cases are down from 2,600 to 600 (23% of peak)
-Daily deaths are down from 100 to 50 (50% of peak)
Current lockdown began in early November. pic.twitter.com/WU6yCiCAQs
US CDC raises alarm over new more contagious variants taking hold. US identified 88 cases of highly transmissible UK variant.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 16, 2021
Act fast to get ahead of it.
https://t.co/1v33Kvr9VV
Yesterday US reported 235,561 new cases, 3929 deaths. pic.twitter.com/PliDenS5D9
Nearly every region is seeing improvement, many of which have very large populations.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 15, 2021
Uttar Pradesh has a population of ~200 million, yet they are currently reporting only ~600 cases per day.
Policy details: https://t.co/xlNkARtrL1
See more:https://t.co/S2NEnShqye pic.twitter.com/2bBVHgb3mc
The UK begins to see cases turn downward. Over the last three days, they reported roughly 46k new cases per day, down from about 60k a week ago.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 15, 2021
Tomorrow the UK will impose a new travel ban for several countries due to concerns over new variants.
https://t.co/dMXl5hEznW pic.twitter.com/yB1VFgUaF0
New York City reports the first 2 cases of the UK variant, 1 with recent travel from the UK.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 14, 2021
The mayor calls for all flights from the United Kingdom to be canceled immediately by the federal government.
https://t.co/yNS19PpmGk
Yesterday Italy reported 17,529 cases and 620 deaths. Daily cases are now at roughly 50% of their November peak.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 14, 2021
Today the Health Minister announced that their state of emergency will be extended to the end of April.
https://t.co/c4tFtMgyO9 pic.twitter.com/uqlQXav9rZ
Importantly, the Netherlands has reported 100 cases of the more transmissible UK variant B117, half linked to school outbreaks.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 13, 2021
A new cluster of COVID infections linked to an elementary school included at least 30 cases of the new variant.
https://t.co/fGWhbIVxPs
Daily cases and deaths in the US continue to reach new highs - now averaging more than 3,000 deaths per day.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 13, 2021
The US announces that, starting Jan 26th, all incoming travelers will need to show proof of a negative coronavirus test.
https://t.co/MKaWP8B6tN pic.twitter.com/hhamlKgOOu
Malaysia plans to tighten restrictions as daily cases and deaths reach new highs. Five states will be placed under a Movement Control Order to curb the spread of the virus, starting Jan 13th.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 12, 2021
Yesterday, Malaysia reported 2433 new cases and 9 deaths.
https://t.co/EYiGnxMKRT pic.twitter.com/O4nisGMRbX
In the US: Arizona sees new highs as cases surge in Maricopa County and Pima County. Yesterday, Arizona reported:
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 12, 2021
Cases: 11,201
Current hospitalizations: 4,988
Deaths: 105 pic.twitter.com/SJU7JjfXrK
The US has reported 68 confirmed cases of the more transmissible UK B.1.1.7 variant
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 11, 2021
Georgia: 1
New York: 1
Pennsylvania: 1
Texas: 1
Connecticut: 2
Colorado: 3
Minnesota: 5
Florida: 22
California: 32
Daily cases and deaths in the US reach new highs. pic.twitter.com/uWGfimimbp
Australia continues to combat a few cases of transmission in NSW. Total of 6 cases of unknown source community transmission in 14 days (pink attached). Today 3 known source cases (blue), as well as 3 imported quarantined cases (grey).
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 11, 2021
https://t.co/48o1kokk7A pic.twitter.com/3pcZ8vy3y2
Canada cases near 10,000 /day trend toward new maximum. Daily death toll reaching peak in late April.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 10, 2021
Quebec month-long curfew begins tonight. But elementary schools open on Monday! Disaster. pic.twitter.com/dp0peVbTRB
Lebanon has rapid surge in daily cases. Yesterday new high 5,440. News of hospital overflow.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 10, 2021
Last Thursday, Lebanon began fifth nationwide lockdown. Effect should be seen starting end of this week.
Vaccinations are planned to begin mid-February.https://t.co/yNM7z1We58 pic.twitter.com/eSoO3moJlZ
Cases in Germany have decreased from peak but daily deaths are still at highest levels.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 9, 2021
Germany recently surpassed the US in daily deaths per capita.
Yesterday they reported 1,152 deaths. pic.twitter.com/8f6Vvqvasn
Daily cases and deaths in South Africa reach new 7-day highs as they combat the new variant.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 9, 2021
KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng have daily case rate highs, and are growing quickly. pic.twitter.com/Y0css6rhb7
Breaking: Coronavirus Update
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 8, 2021
Irish Chief Medical Officer and his team estimate that transmission rate R has more than doubled in 3 weeks, from 1.1-1.3 to 2.4-3.
Ireland reports a new record in daily cases: 7832. pic.twitter.com/OEoOf6g6NQ
Texas reports their first case of the UK B.1.1.7 variant. The infected patient is a man between the ages of 30-40 years old in southwest Harris County and has had no history of traveling. pic.twitter.com/ib0FHzOCPm
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 8, 2021
Switzerland sees their total number of B.1.1.7 cases growing exponentially over the last three weeks.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 8, 2021
Data from @BAG_OFSP_UFSP via @b117science pic.twitter.com/2kauQ6D49Y
Japan declares a state of emergency in Tokyo and three surrounding prefectures as coronavirus cases rise. The declaration is scheduled to last for one month.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 8, 2021
This comes as Japan recorded a record high of 5950 cases yesterday. pic.twitter.com/BDO8ZgVmXN
Breaking: Coronavirus Update
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 7, 2021
The number of people currently hospitalized with COVID in the US reaches a new maximum: >130,000. Roughly 22,000 of those are in California. pic.twitter.com/Az0Pn7O4gV
"It is crucial to turn the epidemic curve around and get the reproduction number significantly below 1 in the coming weeks, so that the infection rates are as low as possible when cluster B.1.1.7 becomes the dominant virus in mid-February." - @SSI_dk
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 7, 2021
Australia continues to keep numbers low, as NSW reports no new locally acquired coronavirus cases today, from 27,879 tests. There are 6 imported and quarantined cases. pic.twitter.com/Fh8PpytuN5
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 7, 2021
The situation in Egypt is becoming dire, as news breaks of some hospitals running out of oxygen for patients.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 6, 2021
Both daily cases and daily deaths are rising toward the levels during their spring wave. https://t.co/yQ758oXLwt pic.twitter.com/k5UNUzlBSg
The United Kingdom, Ireland, Czechia, and Israel are all seeing cases surging very rapidly since December. pic.twitter.com/scuyEwoSIi
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 6, 2021
Daily cases in Canada continue to increase, after holiday reporting lags are alleviated.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 6, 2021
Ontario and Quebec are currently seeing new highs. pic.twitter.com/ZfeNaQqaVp
Similarly, the new variant has been identified in NY as the state experiences uncontrolled community spread. The case was identified in a man in his 60s in Saratoga County who had no recent travel history.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 5, 2021
See county-level cases here: https://t.co/kNDaNyk2Vp pic.twitter.com/0wA0vPs1Fl
Yesterday Ireland reported a new record in daily cases, 4961. Test positivity is also rising rapidly.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 5, 2021
Daily cases per capita are now on par with the UK. pic.twitter.com/BBSlznoSYx
Israel continues to report rising cases and deaths, as their Health Minister suggests stronger measures: “there is no avoiding a full-blown lockdown, including closing schools.”
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 4, 2021
https://t.co/uqsXPP6Nln
Israel is currently leading the global race to vaccinate their population. pic.twitter.com/NQOmkweZLH
The US now has more than 125,000 people currently hospitalized with Covid. Many states in the US are seeing new highs in current hospitalizations.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 4, 2021
In California, there are more than 20,000 current Covid hospitalizations. pic.twitter.com/KEbcbGIe8v
Breaking: Coronavirus Update
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 3, 2021
Global confirmed cases surpass 84 million, with about ¼ of them in the United States (~20 million).
California has reported more than 2 million of those cases, with LA county reporting ~190k just in the last two weeks. pic.twitter.com/bisTXS2LOS
The UK continues to see increasing cases and deaths. Yesterday, they reported 53k new cases and 615 new deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 3, 2021
Hospital systems in several parts of the country are reporting that Covid patients now occupy more than half of all beds. https://t.co/LaLlXCFn2x pic.twitter.com/t3iSaOjmLM
Kenya is rapidly improving in cases and deaths, down to 7 day average of 133 cases per day, ⅛ of peak at 1,108 on Nov 12. Rate of decrease is accelerating! Joins our “Nearly There” category. Keep it up! https://t.co/Brf99XBt6v pic.twitter.com/jbfl3zx4qq
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 2, 2021
Florida becomes the third state in the US to identify the new variant, after California and Colorado. The variant was identified in a man with no travel history.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 2, 2021
Florida reported 17,192 cases yesterday, their second highest. pic.twitter.com/InoKrAS8pp
Note: One more example of premature attribution of herd immunity in Manaus, now has more hospitalizations than in the spring:https://t.co/9wnUittYQC
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 2, 2021
Germany, Netherlands strong lockdowns appear to be working as significant decreases are reported, a few more days needed to confirm due to uncertainty in holiday reporting. pic.twitter.com/LrCjLXEUSh
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 1, 2021
We hope for a better year for the world. Happy New Year.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) January 1, 2021
Ireland reports a new high of 1,545 cases yesterday, as Dublin and Cork surge. It will return to a full lockdown to cope with the rising trend and new variant. pic.twitter.com/zKw4ODIQ4l
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 31, 2020
The UK reports another big jump today, 53,135 new cases, 28% higher than the record set yesterday. pic.twitter.com/er7e16uMIB
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 30, 2020
Chile reported 1,923 new cases yesterday. The capital region and Maule see increases in recent weeks. Chile also identified the UK variant today in a patient who had recently traveled to London. pic.twitter.com/0geBKKhOpg
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 30, 2020
Breaking: Coronavirus Update
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 29, 2020
South Africa becomes the 18th country to surpass 1 million total cases. After three months of low case rates between Sept. and Nov., infections are now accelerating. pic.twitter.com/FRKJ1giNT2
The UK reports a new high of 41,385 cases. There are 20,426 patients currently hospitalized in the UK. pic.twitter.com/LFys6Jj4p0
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 29, 2020
Though Saudi Arabia has a relatively low case rate of ~170 new cases per day, it has recently extended the travel ban over concerns of new variants. pic.twitter.com/bZYsRArmSy
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 29, 2020
Serbia reported 3,200 cases yesterday and has been decreasing for 3 weeks. The daily average dropped to one half of the peak. pic.twitter.com/37umDmt26h
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 28, 2020
India continues to decrease in cases. Yesterday they reported 18,732 cases, the lowest in half a year. All states except Kerala average below 5k new cases per day. pic.twitter.com/RZ04UVM1Dt
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 28, 2020
London's daily average surpassed 10k, from less than 3k three weeks ago. The new variant is recently identified in Sweden, France, Spain, Canada, and Japan. pic.twitter.com/V6JXRUyrZS
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 27, 2020
Bhutan saw a recent outbreak. Yesterday they reported a new high of 57, up from a daily average of less than 1 just 10 days ago. pic.twitter.com/X2bcX6iw89
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 27, 2020
Eritrea reported a new high of 74 yesterday, from a daily average of 6 cases just a week ago. pic.twitter.com/4qYNLHE8On
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 26, 2020
South Korea saw a new high yesterday of 1,237 cases, with Seoul accounting for 550 of the daily increase. pic.twitter.com/QtFL9VR1uN
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 26, 2020
Bolivia reports a rapid increase in daily cases. Yesterday they reported 1,005, compared to less than 100 at the beginning of this month. Testing positivity is also soaring. pic.twitter.com/tDceB7eN5m
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 25, 2020
Israel reported 2,535 cases yesterday, as cases have been steadily increasing since early Nov. A third lockdown is announced, which starts this weekend. pic.twitter.com/UMvfjeBX69
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 25, 2020
The US reported 195,033 new cases with 3,401 deaths. Currently, hospitalizations see new highs, approaching 120k. Hospitalizations are increasing by about 4k per day for two weeks. pic.twitter.com/d1ceSxWGbO
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 24, 2020
Bolivia's cases have been rising recently, yesterday 674, the highest since mid-Sept. Its daily average increased by 150% in the past two weeks. pic.twitter.com/zMcDKmiUu2
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 24, 2020
Ireland recently sees a surge in Dublin, as the country returns to level 5 restrictions in response to the new variant. The measures will start from Christmas Eve to mid-Jan next year. pic.twitter.com/Gj4PfWYIXF
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 23, 2020
Thailand's new outbreak from a seafood market grows to more than 1,000 cases, accounting for about one-fifth of its total confirmed cases. pic.twitter.com/FqxlHBRR3u
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 23, 2020
Tentatively hopeful news in the recent outbreak in New South Wales, Australia as there is only one case with unknown source in 4 days (pink), and the number of community transmission cases (blue and pink) decreases in last two days. pic.twitter.com/Nb7dfSoKgP
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 23, 2020
UK reports 30k+ again today, with London seeing the most rapid growth, followed by South East and East of England. More countries announced flight bans from the UK in response to the new variant, including countries outside Europe like Canada, Argentina, and Kuwait. pic.twitter.com/DsIroUMY61
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 22, 2020
Balkan countries are currently decreasing. Yesterday Bulgaria, Montenegro, Albania, Greece, and Serbia all reported the lowest in at least a month. pic.twitter.com/7Wgzxy9l8D
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 22, 2020
London and several other regions go into a new lockdown starting today, which will last over the Christmas holidays. Several European countries begin to ban flights coming from UK, including Netherlands and Belgium.https://t.co/2V7hy9FdXH
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 21, 2020
As a new cluster emerged in New South Wales, Australia. The cluster has grown to 68 cases now. New restrictions are imposed, including quarantine for interstate travel from NSW. pic.twitter.com/tCz7D0hNxS
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 21, 2020
As cases in South Africa surge recently, Lesotho, the country encircled by South Africa, is reporting a new outbreak. Yesterday they reported a new high of 146 cases, from a daily average below 10 just 10 days ago. pic.twitter.com/EzTc6F6hud
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 20, 2020
India recently getting down to 25,000 new cases per day pic.twitter.com/jOASTeKSWq
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 20, 2020
The UK reported a new high of 35,532 cases yesterday. This week they reported 40% more than the week before. Their daily average has quickly returned to the country's peak level of 25k per day. pic.twitter.com/kEkalssLiy
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 19, 2020
Japan reported a new high of 3,199 cases yesterday, as Tokyo surged again recently. Japan’s covid hospitalizations have been increasing since November. pic.twitter.com/ZCUXSFgCAt
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 19, 2020
Brazil's total cases surpassed 7M as its daily cases continue to increase starting early Nov. Now its daily average is close to that of the first wave. The last million cases were accumulated in 26 days, only slightly slower than its peak, and the speed is still increasing. pic.twitter.com/NH7EeRX25V
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 18, 2020
Colombia reported 11,953 cases, the highest since August. Its test positivity fluctuates around 30%. pic.twitter.com/gkz1PwmeyT
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 18, 2020
Netherlands' cases recently surge again after one month of decline. Its daily average climbs back to 8,587, from less than 5k three weeks ago. Test positivity also turned upwards towards 13%. pic.twitter.com/saaBnPUAz0
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 17, 2020
Yesterday, Germany reported its deadliest day, partly due to the delay of reporting in Saxony. Nevertheless, compared to the average daily toll of 12 two months ago, it is now 40 times higher. pic.twitter.com/GZOr355FfB
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 17, 2020
Italy reported 12,025 cases yesterday, the lowest in months, though its national test positivity still fluctuates around 15%. Lombardia now averages below one quarter of its recent peak. Veneto still sees increasing daily cases, now approaching 4k. pic.twitter.com/Y3jjsdDEO4
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 16, 2020
South Korea reported 880 new cases yesterday, the third-highest for the country. Daily cases and deaths are experiencing new highs. New countermeasures are being discussed, including working from home for non-essential workers. pic.twitter.com/4tFtCX0Trb
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 16, 2020
Uruguay had another big jump yesterday to a new high of 528. Daily cases have been increasing at 6.8% for three weeks. pic.twitter.com/gvFChJr6kl
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 15, 2020
US daily average has been above 200k cases for ten days. Hospitalized patients have been steadily increasing for over two months, now approaching 110k, which is almost twice as high as the previous peaks. pic.twitter.com/bEpYOdl3Ih
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 15, 2020
South Korea reported 1,030 cases yesterday, the first time to have over 1k daily infections. The daily average almost doubled in the past two weeks. pic.twitter.com/XagNs7OLh8
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 14, 2020
Denmark's daily cases growth rate sped up since Dec., with yesterday's record high of 3,557, the daily average has increased 100% in the past 10 days. pic.twitter.com/rOuaSXNjat
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 14, 2020
US reports 231,775 new cases, 3,309 deaths, both are new records. 5 states reported new highs as CA yesterday doubled the daily cases from just 9 days ago. Currently, the average of daily cases, death tolls, and hospitalizations are all at the highest level the nation has seen. pic.twitter.com/DCuoz7YsD2
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 13, 2020
Jordan has seen a significant decline in cases and deaths recently. Yesterday both metrics were the lowest in months, the daily average of cases dropped to half of the peak in mid-Nov. pic.twitter.com/smnfJ7G52c
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 13, 2020
Africa sees continued increases in cases as the hardest-hit country, South Africa, is surging. South Africa yesterday: 8,166, highest since August and the daily average has doubled in the past two weeks. Western Cape, Eastern Cape, and a few other provinces see rapid increases. pic.twitter.com/RFQvCvnAQh
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 12, 2020
Brazil reported 53,453 and 53,347 cases for the last two days, highest two since Aug. The daily average rises to 45k from 35k two weeks ago, approaching the 46k record seen in late July. Sao Paulo sees the most new cases, reporting 9k+ for two days in a row. pic.twitter.com/2tmh694fR6
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 12, 2020
Yesterday, Cuba reported 124 cases, on par with the daily record set two days ago. Their daily average increased from 53 two weeks ago to 98 now. pic.twitter.com/ONdeCRDlYr
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 11, 2020
Japan saw a new high of 2,837 cases, though the increasing speed has slowed down. Tokyo and Osaka are leveling with fluctuations, but the majority of prefectures are still increasing. pic.twitter.com/SX3EtDXhY2
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 11, 2020
US reported 215,724 cases yesterday, with 2,546 deaths. CA: 26,265, currently with a daily average significantly larger than other states. The spike in OH is partly due to the release of backlog cases as yesterday reported its record high of 25,721, compared with ~10k recently. pic.twitter.com/7OmN4e9tHY
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 10, 2020
Denmark sees a new high of 2,155. Recently, test positivity surges almost proportionally to daily cases, suggesting a bottleneck in testing. Now the positive rate is as high as 14%, while the country managed to maintain it under 2% until Oct. pic.twitter.com/WBfwg7i3IP
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 10, 2020
Breaking: Coronavirus update
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 9, 2020
The US is now experiencing new highs in confirmed cases, deaths, and current hospitalizations. Outbreaks are fairly widespread, with most states experiencing new highs in daily cases.
More at https://t.co/pUw6vJ4omJ pic.twitter.com/x3E37Xjwy7
Sweden continues to pull away from their nordic neighbors, in terms of cumulative COVID-19 deaths per million. pic.twitter.com/MytY1uLikN
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 9, 2020
The US reported 180k new cases yesterday, and has 102k people currently hospitalized with COVID, a new high.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 8, 2020
Recently, 40 states have seen increasing hospitalizations. In Arizona, hospitalizations are approaching their peak from the first wave. California reaches a new high. pic.twitter.com/Ou7Qdlru9k
At https://t.co/1Tqhs475WB, we currently have ~30 countries in our “winning” category, which are seeing very few cases.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 8, 2020
Australia continues to see success, with 0 deaths and 0 domestic cases yesterday.https://t.co/rghZk71P0C pic.twitter.com/lsNmH72Bs5
Denmark has a jump in new cases. Yesterday, they reported a record high of 2,116 cases along with the highest daily death toll since May. pic.twitter.com/33EBVNK2tK
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 7, 2020
South Korea reported 631 cases yesterday, which is the highest since March. Cases in Seoul and Gyeonngi-do continue to surge. More social distancing measures are put into effect starting on Tuesday. pic.twitter.com/i8xQBy4YQW
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 7, 2020
US yesterday reported a new high of 227,885 cases. 9 states report new records, including CA's 24,252. The impacts of holiday travels in the previous week are showing. In CA, where testing positivity remained relatively low during the previous waves, positive rates are climbing. pic.twitter.com/4ogCMWCynO
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 6, 2020
Mauritania is seeing a rapid surge recently. Yesterday they reported 176 cases, which is the highest since late June. The daily average is 5 times higher now than it was two weeks ago. pic.twitter.com/twaFxTAK6f
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 6, 2020
Ireland reported 162 cases yesterday, lowest since the peak of the current wave. Currently, Dublin is the only region with a daily average of 25+. pic.twitter.com/8YIYALN2Fd
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 5, 2020
South Korea reported 629 cases yesterday, the third highest for the country along with the highest daily death toll since April. Seoul will see new restrictions starting tomorrow, including early closures of public venues. pic.twitter.com/kY7pYAIKpQ
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) December 5, 2020
NECSI on the Coronavirus
Updates:
Position Statements:
Systemic Risk of Pandemic via Novel Pathogens – Coronavirus: A Note
Review of Ferguson et al “Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions...” Version 2
Lockdown to Contain COVID-19 Is a Window of Opportunity to Prevent the Second Wave
Guides to Action:
Individual, Community and Government Early Outbreak Response Guidelines Version 3
Coronavirus Guide for Supermarkets, Grocery Stores, and Pharmacies
COVID-19 Employee Safety and Screening Questions for Employers
Special Guidelines for Medical Workers During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Coronavirus Guidelines for Cleaning and Disinfecting to Prevent COVID-19 Transmission
Roadmap to Eliminating COVID-19 in 5-6 Weeks Through the Zero Covid Strategy
What India needs to do to eliminate Covid— A case for a sub-national Zero Covid Strategy
Analyses
The Effect of Travel Restrictions on the Domestic Spread of the Wuhan Coronavirus 2019-nCov
The IFR of the Diamond Princess has been Misreported, Best Current Value is 2.0%
Long-range Interaction and Evolutionary Stability in a Predator-Prey System
Critiques
Innovation Ideas
The Potential for Screening and Tracking of COVID-19 Using Particle Counters Version 2
Testing Treatments for COVID-19: CT-scans for visible disease progression
