This has to be a new technical jargon: "fairytale epidemiology" https://t.co/SdBre6wtwZ
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 17, 2021
Not good https://t.co/PpD98s2reC
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 16, 2021
NY State reaches 70% vaccination goal, and drops many statewide restrictions. Statewide positivity has dropped to 0.35%, lowest since pandemic declared
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 15, 2021
Delta variant has ~90% vaccination 'herd immunity' and partially evades vaccines. Loosening restrictions isn't a good idea
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Our international call is on Wednesday at 2PM ET / 8PM CET. DM me if you don't have the link.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 15, 2021
Please join as we are strengthening our global network and building new projects.
Another way to be connected is to click on "join" link onhttps://t.co/fEsych7Sae
Starting now https://t.co/S3wmoec6i0
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 15, 2021
Sunday night I had the honour to host Yaneer Bar-Yam on Vetcov's 60 min. As always, he shows he is the one to listen to. Check it out here. @yaneerbaryam
— Andrew Ewing (@AndrewEwing11) June 15, 2021
See https://t.co/u65pqaSwGX as well.https://t.co/kdUGRYOcAO
Sweden is deteriorating from morally unacceptable actions to defensive reactions to criticism that only make it worse https://t.co/NQjtwHRaJ2
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 15, 2021
India's cases continue to decline rapidly with yesterday's count at 62,597, 15% of peak.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 15, 2021
The state of Uttar Pradesh, with 200 million population, using a Green Zone “mera gaon, corona mukt gaon” (My village, Corona Free) strategy is now at 605 cases per day, 3 per million. pic.twitter.com/uvQ2xdn0sd
I feel strongly that we can use scientific knowledge, technology and shared action to end the pandemic. Vaccination, preventing airborne transmission with PPEs and ventilation and air filtering, mass testing, social distancing can get us there if we choose to do so. https://t.co/vnmBRQybhe
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 15, 2021
Delta variant originally found in India is growing rapidly in UK and the US. Join us for a#Zerocovid Community Action Meeting tomorrow, Tuesday at 2PM ET
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 15, 2021
Here is the link to RSVP Form:https://t.co/hGEs2T0caE
12) JUST IN— because of the startling #DeltaVariant data (above), Uk 🇬🇧 has now officially delayed reopening fully for another 4 weeks!
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) June 14, 2021
Yet US CDC still not declaring #B16172 a variant of concern yet, despite UK and WHO upgrading the warning status. https://t.co/kHXR6mDq7S
"A zero covid strategy is impossible!" 🤔 https://t.co/TCgM1BL7Xt
— The Underground Academic (@Itisallacademic) June 14, 2021
#ZeroCovid for the best economic performance https://t.co/XtvvZ9iXlC
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 13, 2021
no words https://t.co/iebogMJ2vq
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 14, 2021
Israel is close to elimination:
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 14, 2021
Figure shows cases in last 15 days. Imported are yellow, community transmission are blue. Community transmission average 5 / day, 0.5 per million population. This is the level at which contact tracing and isolation can stop transmission. pic.twitter.com/iyvYsQ6l8j
#ZeroCovid for the best economic performance https://t.co/XtvvZ9iXlC
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 13, 2021
Now that India's cases are substantially lower than peak the greatest danger is that states will open up too soon. In a Green Zone strategy parts of states that are covid free open up and progressively expand their area while control of the outbreak continues. pic.twitter.com/ioWBOBjn59
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 13, 2021
India's cases continue to decline, yesterday's count is 84,695 nearly reaching 1/5 of peak.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 13, 2021
/1 pic.twitter.com/siFxi1lxIb
Children are infected and can infect others https://t.co/1hWf7l0R7H
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 12, 2021
PHE report on variants just out. Highlights:
— Deepti Gurdasani (@dgurdasani1) June 11, 2021
->90% of cases across England now delta
-delta ~66% more transmissible
-Most cases are in school age children
-30% deaths were among fully vaccinated and 17% in partly vaccinated
-cases of delta sublineage with K417N mutation
🧵
60 MINUTES Sunday 2021-06-13
— Vetenskapsforum Covid-19 (@vetcov19) June 11, 2021
at 8pm (in English)@yaneerbaryam visits 60 MINUTES and he will be taking your questions about the pandemic. Host is @AndrewEwing11. Find out more about Yaneer & his work at: https://t.co/gc0BqhtxU4#COVID19sverige #svpol pic.twitter.com/5YfVRZq7Rx
Highly Contagious Delta Variant Now Makes Up 91% Of U.K.’s New Covid Cases
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 11, 2021
Expected to expand in Europe as there are insufficient travel restrictions to prevent its spread.https://t.co/2iOktPCsF9
1/
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 10, 2021
#LongCovid Kids:
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 10, 2021
“...whether those kids grow like they’re supposed to, develop language like they’re supposed to, go on to be successful in school like they’re supposed to — we’re not going to learn for a long time.” https://t.co/mq0raOmb73
Mask wearing continues to be important to protect children, vulnerable individuals, essential workers and prevent breakthrough infections.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 29, 2021
Petition to CDC to Reinstate Mask Wearing Guidance https://t.co/HToNC0O4xX via @Change
A year ago 👇👇👇 https://t.co/U29VSWXdiE
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 9, 2021
Delta variant (originating in India) is growing rapidly in the US. Is the pandemic over? https://t.co/nAptvAbskX
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 8, 2021
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 8, 2021
Delta variant (originating in India) is growing rapidly in the US. Is the pandemic over? https://t.co/nAptvAbskX
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 8, 2021
Delta variant (originating in India) is growing rapidly in the US. Is the pandemic over? https://t.co/nAptvAbskX
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 8, 2021
I've been mobilizing for a global elimination initiative for months. So-called leading scientists here in Germany keep ignoring it. They all need to follow the world's best epidemiologists, like Prof. Michael Baker, and finally adopt an elimination strategy! #NoCovid #ZeroCovid
— 🔴 Markus Meier #LebenWie2019NurBesser 🔴 (@markumei) June 8, 2021
When reading press narratives it is important to keep in mind who are the advertisers that pay for them.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 7, 2021
This is the most important message about the pandemic 👇 for Taiwan and everywhere. Acting early is the easiest action and often the hardest decision for leaders. Now is the next best choice. https://t.co/cHAwRUJoRF
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 7, 2021
This is the most important message about the pandemic 👇 for Taiwan and everywhere. Acting early is the easiest action and often the hardest decision for leaders. Now is the next best choice. https://t.co/cHAwRUJoRF
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 7, 2021
Please stop justifying keeping unsafe schools open to help single parents. Single parents need *more* protections - if a child loses their only parent to Covid, their life will be forever devastated. #bced https://t.co/v3CKyJwnqe
— chantzy (@chantz_y) June 7, 2021
Why these 2 counties' COVID surges are among worst in the country - signature of delta the variant first seen in India https://t.co/bWK8CIZWr0
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 7, 2021
India's cases are rapidly declining, now down from over 400k per day to just over 100k per day.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 6, 2021
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I have had several conversations that show there is an important misconception that cases after vaccination are generally mild. This is not the case. Please read and inform others. The risk of severe cases continues after vaccination. https://t.co/ufaKAVEEvE
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 6, 2021
Alert: UK sees a large uptick in infections -- up 69% from last week -- despite 60% of people at least partially vaccinated, 40% fully vaccinated, and partial social distancing measures still in place.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 6, 2021
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The pandemic isn’t over yet — Covid Action Group https://t.co/Eh6LsfPOkP
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 4, 2021
Since spring 2020, and consistently, Prof. @yaneerbaryam has been advocating for Elimination through green zones - a structured local elimination strategy @BaryPradelski @elvira_rosert #NoCovid.
— Miquel Oliu-Barton (@OliuBarton) June 4, 2021
And vaccines?
It is now easier and cheaper to eliminate. @FLAHAULT @BrinkmannLab https://t.co/IcB1kYTW7w
Another must read https://t.co/vmXqOiV8TP
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 4, 2021
Zero Covid Day event by Vetenskaps Forum in Sweden yesterday. Yaneer Bar Yam was first speaker and in 30 min laid out perfectly why ZeroCovid is the scientific way to approach the pandemic, and why it is not too late! @yaneerbaryam https://t.co/6FhtGDnQl6
— Andrew Ewing (@AndrewEwing11) April 11, 2021
Variants: Why are we allowing them to emerge and why are we allowing them to spread to cause more suffering and death. https://t.co/VYMX8TwYdM
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 2, 2021
At this year's World Health Assembly, Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison advocates ending the pandemic. This is in contrast to many officials planning to accept Covid as a permanent part of life.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 2, 2021
We applaud P.M. Morrison.
1/https://t.co/Mb6rAOMBdF
Vietnam this month has its largest spike in COVID-19 cases, possibly due to a newly detected variant combining mutations of the variants originally found in the UK and India. This past month has accounted for 50% of cases, and 25% of deaths.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 30, 2021
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Mask wearing continues to be important to protect children, vulnerable individuals, essential workers and prevent breakthrough infections.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 29, 2021
Petition to CDC to Reinstate Mask Wearing Guidance https://t.co/HToNC0O4xX via @Change
Elimination as a global exit strategy:
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 29, 2021
Stable elimination of COVID-19, which allowed economies to fully reopen, was possible without vaccines, as described in this paper and demonstrated by multiple countries.
1/https://t.co/wLidzR0y6w
1/
Variant detected in Vietnam combines mutations of B.1.1.7 (UK origin) and B.1.617.2 (India origin) variants. https://t.co/w6MITLXrDj
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 29, 2021
Important thread on LongCovid 👇 https://t.co/xaDYQgJvya
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 29, 2021
March 12, 2020: Essential viewing https://t.co/7rlpVTfTmR
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 29, 2021
👉I will be on the first flight home. I hope my grandparents will be there to meet me https://t.co/rgXng2vLtO via @IrishTimes
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 29, 2021
Our actions matter. And our example and influence do too. Let’s help each other be well.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 29, 2021
DM @MakeGood2gether to take part in the promise campaign. #MakeGoodTogether
Together is the only way forward. pic.twitter.com/tc97MHeZks
Australia has been enjoying pre-pandemic life for many months except for few day "snap lockdowns."
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 28, 2021
Victoria, the 2nd most populous state, is now locking down for a week over ‘highly infectious’ variant outbreak (37 total cases)
1/https://t.co/l5GcnmKXNP
Short term thinking leads to longer term harm https://t.co/ebOvs9tuD2
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 28, 2021
Argentina imposed new lockdowns with mobility restrictions in most provinces May 22 to control the high surge in COVID-19 cases. Only essential activities are continuing. Social, economic, educational, religious and sports activities are suspended.
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 27, 2021
1/https://t.co/q3t1SyCkkZ pic.twitter.com/QWxtiwgVSp
Do Vaccines prevent severe disease and death? Yes and No
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 26, 2021
An exit strategy using vaccines and social action.
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"..we’ll never have a time machine allowing us to undo harsh lessons learned through irreversible mistakes and crystal-clear hindsight. This may be the most stark and difficult decision we’ve faced since the start of the pandemic but also the most important." https://t.co/eRbcBBMGJm
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 26, 2021
NECSI on the Coronavirus
Updates:
Position Statements:
Systemic Risk of Pandemic via Novel Pathogens – Coronavirus: A Note
Review of Ferguson et al “Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions...” Version 2
Lockdown to Contain COVID-19 Is a Window of Opportunity to Prevent the Second Wave
Guides to Action:
Individual, Community and Government Early Outbreak Response Guidelines Version 3
Coronavirus Guide for Supermarkets, Grocery Stores, and Pharmacies
COVID-19 Employee Safety and Screening Questions for Employers
Special Guidelines for Medical Workers During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Coronavirus Guidelines for Cleaning and Disinfecting to Prevent COVID-19 Transmission
Roadmap to Eliminating COVID-19 in 5-6 Weeks Through the Zero Covid Strategy
What India needs to do to eliminate Covid— A case for a sub-national Zero Covid Strategy
Analyses
The Effect of Travel Restrictions on the Domestic Spread of the Wuhan Coronavirus 2019-nCov
The IFR of the Diamond Princess has been Misreported, Best Current Value is 2.0%
Long-range Interaction and Evolutionary Stability in a Predator-Prey System
Critiques
Innovation Ideas
The Potential for Screening and Tracking of COVID-19 Using Particle Counters Version 2
Testing Treatments for COVID-19: CT-scans for visible disease progression