IWEIR of NASU
Last modified: May 30, 2006
Principles of self-organization and sustainable development of the world economy are the basis of global security.
Institute World Economy and International Relations
Ukraine Academy of Science
5. Leontovich str., Kiev, 01030 Ukraine
The phenomenon of states changes of the world economy during the last 200 years shows that there is a certain 70-year regularity in its development, which is expressed in increased structural complexity of the global economic system every 70 years.
The development happens after certain periods of bifurcation (up to 50 years) accompanied by the lower rates of economic development, and periods of adaptation (up to 20 years) with the higher rates.
The theoretical reasoning of this process shows that complication in the structure of the global socium is the external demonstration of the self-organization process in a large complex system we call the “world economy”. This process of development is based on two fundamental laws of nature: the principle of minimum dissipation of energy (or resources), and the law of conservation of accumulated energy (economic efficiency); and is realized via two types of development mechanisms – bifurcation and adaptation.
Formation of the world-security system should rest on applying the natural laws of development, and lead towards the creation of a complex, two-level (regional and global) structure with the institution of geopolitical pluralism, based on implementing the “principle of minimum dissipation”. This will contribute to the development of the global system on the conflict-free base.